Researchers predict the upcoming Atlantic hurricane season will be close to recent averages. The season runs from June 1 through November 30, and the Atlantic basin includes the Atlantic Ocean, the Gulf of Mexico, and the Caribbean Sea.
The forecast estimates 12 to 15 named storms, six to nine hurricanes, and two to three major hurricanes in the Atlantic basin. Regional forecasts show some differences: the Gulf of Mexico may see two to five named storms, and the Caribbean Sea may see one to three named storms. Scientists based the forecast on long historical data and sea-surface temperatures.
Difficult words
- forecast — a statement about future weather or events
- basin — an area of ocean and nearby seas
- named storm — a storm that is given an official namenamed storms
- hurricane — a strong tropical storm with very high windshurricanes
- major hurricane — a hurricane with especially severe wind and damagemajor hurricanes
- sea-surface temperature — the temperature of the top layer of the oceansea-surface temperatures
- historical data — past records or measurements used for study
Tip: hover, focus or tap highlighted words in the article to see quick definitions while you read or listen.
Discussion questions
- Have you ever prepared for a big storm or hurricane? What did you do?
- Do you think knowing sea-surface temperatures is important for weather forecasts? Why or why not?
- Which part of the Atlantic basin is nearest to you, and have you seen storm warnings there?
Related articles
Scientists Watch El Niño's Effect on Weather and Hurricanes
Scientists are watching El Niño because it can change weather globally and affect the Atlantic hurricane season. Many forecast models now see an increased chance of El Niño later this year, but its effect will depend on timing and ocean temperatures.
Engineered bacteria produce tagatose sweetener
Tufts researchers engineered Escherichia coli to make tagatose, a rare sugar that can substitute for table sugar. They used a slime mold enzyme and another enzyme to convert glucose, producing higher yields; tagatose is low‑calorie and FDA‑recognized as safe.